Worthing 62%Draw 22%Chesham United 16%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.09
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultWorthing to win ✓62% · @1.53
Double chanceWorthing or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Worthing vs Chesham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Worthing v Chesham United in the National League South, played at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Current form
Chesham United, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dagenham & Redbridge, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Worthing 2.2 xG, Chesham United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Worthing 62%, draw 22%, Chesham United 16%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Worthing 2–1 Chesham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Worthing62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.10
Chesham United16%fair 6.07 · @5.10
3.24Expected goals
2.15Worthing xG
1.09Chesham United xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Worthing 2.2 – 1.1 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Worthing to win✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Double chance
Worthing or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.60
Draw no bet
Worthing (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Worthing -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Worthing to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Worthing ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Worthing / FT Worthing✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Worthing – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Torquay
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Slough Town
4–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chesham United – last 3
LWW
24 Feb
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Eastbourne Borough
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Worthing and Chesham United.
What is the prediction for Worthing vs Chesham United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Worthing vs Chesham United?
On our numbers Worthing have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesham United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Worthing vs Chesham United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Worthing vs Chesham United?
Our predicted score is Worthing 2–1 Chesham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Worthing vs Chesham United?
Worthing vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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