Chesham United v AFC Hornchurch Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✓41% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.13

Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Hornchurch travel to face Chesham United on Tuesday 24 March in the National League South, with The Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Chesham United, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AFC Totton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Horsham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesham United 1.4 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chesham United 33%, draw 25%, AFC Hornchurch 41%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesham United 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesham United33%fair 2.99 · @2.65

Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10

AFC Hornchurch41%fair 2.41 · @2.45

2.95Expected goals

1.36Chesham United xG

1.58AFC Hornchurch xG

62%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Chesham United 1.4 – 1.6 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	AFC Hornchurch to win ✓	41%	2.41	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.60
Draw no bet	AFC Hornchurch (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Chesham United +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.85	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
First team to score	AFC Hornchurch to score first ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch ✓	25%	3.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.13	–

Chesham United – last 5

LLLWW

17 Mar	vs AFC Totton	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Worthing	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Ebbsfleet United	4–1	W
17 Feb	vs Eastbourne Borough	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 5

WWLLL

10 Mar	@ Horsham	2–0	W
3 Mar	vs Salisbury	1–0	W
24 Feb	@ Dover	1–4	L
21 Feb	@ AFC Totton	0–1	L
17 Feb	@ Dorking Wanderers	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers Chesham United have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AFC Hornchurch 41%.

How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Chesham United vs AFC Hornchurch (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chesham United v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction