Torquay v Dorking Wanderers Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultTorquay to win ✗47% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Torquay welcome Dorking Wanderers to Plainmoor for a National League South fixture on Tuesday 24 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Torquay are 11th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Torquay, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Salisbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Enfield Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Torquay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torquay 1.9 xG, Dorking Wanderers 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Torquay 47%, draw 22%, Dorking Wanderers 31%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torquay47%fair 2.12 · @2.10

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.70

Dorking Wanderers31%fair 3.23 · @2.80

3.21Expected goals

1.86Torquay xG

1.35Dorking Wanderers xG

65%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–19%

1–08%

2–07%

1–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Torquay 1.9 – 1.4 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Torquay to win ✗	47%	2.12	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	78%	1.28	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.55	1.50
Draw no bet	Torquay (draw no bet)	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Dorking Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
First team to score	Torquay to score first ✗	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Torquay ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.65	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✗	30%	3.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.62	–

Torquay – last 4

WDLL

10 Mar	vs Salisbury	2–1	W
3 Mar	vs Farnborough	2–2	D
24 Feb	@ Worthing	1–3	L
21 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–4	L

1.8Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Dorking Wanderers – last 5

WDWDW

17 Mar	@ Enfield Town	4–2	W
10 Mar	vs Chelmsford City	1–1	D
24 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Maidstone Utd	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

80%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

On our numbers Torquay have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dorking Wanderers 31%.

How many goals will there be in Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Torquay 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Plainmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Torquay v Dorking Wanderers: numbers & prediction