Hemel Hempstead Town v Chesham United Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗41% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Hemel Hempstead Town v Chesham United in the National League South, played at Focus Community Arena. In the table, Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 17 matches; Chesham United are 21st (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Hemel Hempstead Town, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Weston-super-Mare, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Chesham United, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Enfield Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hemel Hempstead Town 1.4 xG, Chesham United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hemel Hempstead Town 41%, draw 26%, Chesham United 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Chesham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hemel Hempstead Town41%fair 2.43 · @2.25

Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10

Chesham United33%fair 3.03 · @3.00

2.69Expected goals

1.43Hemel Hempstead Town xG

1.27Chesham United xG

61%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–19%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.4 – 1.3 Chesham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hemel Hempstead Town to win ✗	41%	2.43	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.65	1.73 ▲
Draw no bet	Hemel Hempstead Town (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Chesham United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Hemel Hempstead Town to score first ✗	49%	2.02	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town ✗	24%	4.18	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.46	–

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 5

DWWLL

31 Mar	@ Weston-super-Mare	0–0	D
24 Mar	@ Bath City	3–0	W
10 Mar	vs Chippenham Town	3–2	W
23 Feb	@ Chelmsford City	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Horsham	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Chesham United – last 6

WLLLLW

31 Mar	@ Enfield Town	4–3	W
24 Mar	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–2	L
17 Mar	vs AFC Totton	1–2	L
3 Mar	@ Worthing	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Dagenham & Redbridge	0–1	L
21 Feb	vs Ebbsfleet United	4–1	W

1.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chesham United 33%.

How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Chesham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chesham United (National League South) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hemel Hempstead Town v Chesham United: numbers & prediction