Horsham v Dorking Wanderers Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗41% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dorking Wanderers travel to face Horsham on Friday 3 April in the National League South, with The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Horsham are 12th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Dorking Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Horsham, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bath City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Dorking Wanderers, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Torquay, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dorking Wanderers, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Horsham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Horsham 1.5 xG, Dorking Wanderers 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Horsham 35%, draw 24%, Dorking Wanderers 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Horsham 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Horsham35%fair 2.83 · @2.95

Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40

Dorking Wanderers41%fair 2.46 · @2.15

2.99Expected goals

1.49Horsham xG

1.50Dorking Wanderers xG

63%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–28%

2–18%

0–18%

1–07%

2–26%

From our goals model: Horsham 1.5 – 1.5 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dorking Wanderers to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.55
Draw no bet	Dorking Wanderers (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Horsham +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
First team to score	Dorking Wanderers to score first ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers ✗	22%	4.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.84	–

Horsham – last 5

WLDWL

17 Mar	vs Bath City	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs AFC Hornchurch	0–2	L
24 Feb	vs Ebbsfleet United	1–1	D
21 Feb	vs Hemel Hempstead Town	2–0	W
17 Feb	@ Enfield Town	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Dorking Wanderers – last 6

DWDWDW

24 Mar	@ Torquay	2–2	D
17 Mar	@ Enfield Town	4–2	W
10 Mar	vs Chelmsford City	1–1	D
24 Feb	@ Eastbourne Borough	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Maidstone Utd	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

On our numbers Horsham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dorking Wanderers 41%.

How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers?

Horsham vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Horsham v Dorking Wanderers: numbers & prediction