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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hereford v Chester: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Edgar Street

Chester

Hereford 35%Draw 27%Chester 38% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.28

75%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultChester to win ✗38% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.45

Hereford vs Chester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hereford welcome Chester to Edgar Street for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Hereford are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Chester are 8th (upper half) with 26.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hereford 1.3 xG, Chester 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hereford 35%, draw 27%, Chester 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hereford 1–1 Chester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hereford35%fair 2.86 · @2.80

Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.35

Chester38%fair 2.60 · @2.25

2.62Expected goals

1.33Hereford xG

1.28Chester xG

59%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–010%

0–19%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Hereford 1.3 – 1.3 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chester to win ✗	38%	2.60	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.36	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.71	1.50
Draw no bet	Chester (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Chester +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	88%	1.14	–
First team to score	Hereford to score first	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hereford / FT Hereford ✓	22%	4.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.45	–

Recent results

Hereford – last 2

21 Feb	vs Scarborough Athletic	1–2	L
17 Feb	vs Darlington 1883	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Chester – last 1

21 Feb

@ Leamington

2–0

2.0Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Chester.

Hereford vs Chester head-to-head page →

National League North table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

More National League North predictions

League hub

Alfreton Town2

Scarborough Athletic1 136%2.55X27%3.10238%2.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Bedford Town4

Peterborough Sports1 144%2.20X24%3.50231%2.80 1.7–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✗

Buxton1

King's Lynn Town2 149%1.95X24%3.35227%3.40 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Curzon Ashton1

Darlington 18832 143%2.90X23%3.55235%2.10 1.8–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✓

Kidderminster Harriers4

Marine0 159%1.53X24%3.70217%5.80 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✗

Leamington1

Merthyr Town2 123%4.33X24%3.70253%1.68 1.3–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✓

Macclesfield1

AFC Fylde4 137%2.50X24%3.60239%2.38 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.40 ✓

Oxford City0

AFC Telford United0 139%3.60X22%3.55240%1.85 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hereford vs Chester?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Hereford vs Chester?

On our numbers Hereford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chester 38%.

How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Chester?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hereford vs Chester?

Our predicted score is Hereford 1–1 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hereford vs Chester?

Hereford vs Chester (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.