Leamington 23%Draw 24%Merthyr Town 53%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.87
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✓53% · @1.68
Double chanceMerthyr Town or draw ✓77% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.53
Leamington vs Merthyr Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leamington welcome Merthyr Town to Your Co-op Community Stadium for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leamington 1.3 xG, Merthyr Town 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leamington 23%, draw 24%, Merthyr Town 53%.
Lower-risk option: Merthyr Town or draw (77%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leamington 1–1 Merthyr Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leamington23%fair 4.26 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
Merthyr Town53%fair 1.89 · @1.68
3.19Expected goals
1.32Leamington xG
1.87Merthyr Town xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leamington 1.3 – 1.9 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✓
53%
1.89
1.68
Double chance
Merthyr Town or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Draw no bet
Merthyr Town (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Leamington +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Merthyr Town to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Merthyr Town ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.53
–
Recent results
Leamington – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Chester
0–2
L
17 Feb
vs Spennymoor Town
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Merthyr Town – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Alfreton Town
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leamington and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Leamington have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Merthyr Town 53%.
How many goals will there be in Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Leamington 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Leamington vs Merthyr Town?
Leamington vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Your Co-op Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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