Chorley v South Shields Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSouth Shields to win ✗48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Chorley vs South Shields: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 March the National League North brings Chorley against South Shields at Victory Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Chorley are 13th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; South Shields are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chorley, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spennymoor Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

South Shields, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Fylde, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours South Shields, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Chorley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chorley 1.4 xG, South Shields 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chorley 29%, draw 23%, South Shields 48%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chorley 1–1 South Shields. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chorley29%fair 3.48 · @3.10

Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50

South Shields48%fair 2.07 · @2.00

3.19Expected goals

1.36Chorley xG

1.83South Shields xG

62%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

0–18%

2–17%

0–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.4 – 1.8 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	South Shields to win ✗	48%	2.07	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.60	1.53
Draw no bet	South Shields (draw no bet)	63%	1.60	–
Asian handicap	Chorley +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
First team to score	South Shields to score first	55%	1.82	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.64	–
Half-time / full-time	HT South Shields / FT South Shields ✗	30%	3.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.67	–

Chorley – last 3

LLD

24 Feb	@ Spennymoor Town	0–1	L
21 Feb	@ Bedford Town	0–2	L
17 Feb	@ AFC Telford United	2–2	D

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

South Shields – last 3

WWD

3 Mar	vs AFC Fylde	2–1	W
24 Feb	vs Worksop Town	3–1	W
21 Feb	vs AFC Telford United	2–2	D

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs South Shields?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chorley vs South Shields?

On our numbers Chorley have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and South Shields 48%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs South Shields?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs South Shields?

Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Chorley vs South Shields?

Chorley vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chorley v South Shields: numbers & prediction