Darlington 1883 v Buxton Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDarlington 1883 to win ✗44% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.13

Darlington 1883 vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 10 March the National League North brings Darlington 1883 against Buxton at Blackwell Meadows. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Darlington 1883 are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Darlington 1883, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macclesfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Buxton, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to King's Lynn Town, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Darlington 1883, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Buxton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Darlington 1883 1.6 xG, Buxton 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Darlington 1883 44%, draw 23%, Buxton 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Darlington 1883 1–1 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Darlington 188344%fair 2.29 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.60

Buxton34%fair 2.98 · @3.10

3.29Expected goals

1.64Darlington 1883 xG

1.65Buxton xG

65%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–28%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Darlington 1883 1.6 – 1.7 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Darlington 1883 to win ✗	44%	2.29	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	65%	1.53	1.50
Draw no bet	Darlington 1883 (draw no bet) ✗	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	Darlington 1883 +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.71	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	77%	1.31	1.22
First team to score	Buxton to score first ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	38%	2.66	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.13	–

Darlington 1883 – last 4

LWWL

3 Mar	vs Macclesfield	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Curzon Ashton	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Spennymoor Town	4–0	W
17 Feb	@ Hereford	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 3

LLD

24 Feb	vs King's Lynn Town	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs AFC Fylde	0–3	L
17 Feb	@ Southport	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

On our numbers Darlington 1883 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxton 34%.

How many goals will there be in Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Our predicted score is Darlington 1883 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Darlington 1883 vs Buxton?

Darlington 1883 vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Blackwell Meadows.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Darlington 1883 v Buxton: numbers & prediction