Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arema FC travel to face Persepam Madura Utd on Saturday 21 February in the Liga 1, with Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Persepam Madura Utd are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Arema FC are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persepam Madura Utd 1.6 xG, Arema FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persepam Madura Utd 40%, draw 24%, Arema FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Arema FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persepam Madura Utd40%fair 2.51 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Arema FC36%fair 2.76 · @2.40
2.92Expected goals
1.59Persepam Madura Utd xG
1.33Arema FC xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Persepam Madura Utd 1.6 – 1.3 Arema FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win✗
40%
2.51
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.71
Draw no bet
Persepam Madura Utd (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Arema FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Persepam Madura Utd to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepam Madura Utd / FT Persepam Madura Utd✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Persepam Madura Utd – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Persis Solo
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arema FC – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Semen Padang
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persepam Madura Utd and Arema FC.
What is the prediction for Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
On our numbers Persepam Madura Utd have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arema FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
Our predicted score is Persepam Madura Utd 1–1 Arema FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC?
Persepam Madura Utd vs Arema FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.