Value bet: Persebaya Surabaya to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.97
Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persijap welcome Persebaya Surabaya to Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Saturday 21 February (14:30 WAT). In the table, Persijap are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 9 matches; Persebaya Surabaya are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persijap 0.9 xG, Persebaya Surabaya 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persijap 26%, draw 26%, Persebaya Surabaya 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Persebaya Surabaya to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persijap 0–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persijap26%fair 3.79 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
Persebaya Surabaya47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
0.88Persijap xG
1.49Persebaya Surabaya xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Persijap 0.9 – 1.5 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win
47%
2.12
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.70
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Persijap +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Persijap – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Malut United
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persijap and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persijap have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Persebaya Surabaya 47%.
How many goals will there be in Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persijap 0–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persijap vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bumi Kartini Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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