Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bhayangkara FC welcome PSIM Yogyakarta to Sumpah Pemuda for a Liga 1 fixture on Friday 17 April (09:30 WAT). In the table, Bhayangkara FC are 9th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Bhayangkara FC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Persija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
PSIM Yogyakarta, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PSM Makassar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bhayangkara FC, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for PSIM Yogyakarta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bhayangkara FC 1.8 xG, PSIM Yogyakarta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bhayangkara FC 58%, draw 24%, PSIM Yogyakarta 19%.
Lower-risk option: Bhayangkara FC or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bhayangkara FC 1–1 PSIM Yogyakarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bhayangkara FC58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
PSIM Yogyakarta19%fair 5.32 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.77Bhayangkara FC xG
0.90PSIM Yogyakarta xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bhayangkara FC 1.8 – 0.9 PSIM Yogyakarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bhayangkara FC to win✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
Bhayangkara FC or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Draw no bet
Bhayangkara FC (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
PSIM Yogyakarta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Bhayangkara FC to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Bhayangkara FC ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
WWWWWW
5 Apr
vs Persija
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Arema FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dewa United
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Semen Padang
4–0
W
20 Feb
@ Persik Kediri
4–3
W
14 Feb
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
LLDDWD
10 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Persijap
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Semen Padang
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ PSBS Biak Numfor
4–2
W
23 Feb
vs Bali United
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bhayangkara FC and PSIM Yogyakarta.
What is the prediction for Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
On our numbers Bhayangkara FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSIM Yogyakarta 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Our predicted score is Bhayangkara FC 1–1 PSIM Yogyakarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Sumpah Pemuda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.