Value bet: Bali United to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBali United to win ✓41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Persita vs Bali United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 23 April the Liga 1 brings Persita against Bali United at Indomilk Arena. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Persita are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 8 matches; Bali United are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Persita, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Persik Kediri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Bali United, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Malut United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Bali United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Persita.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persita 1.4 xG, Bali United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persita 36%, draw 23%, Bali United 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Bali United to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persita 1–1 Bali United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persita36%fair 2.79 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.35
Bali United41%fair 2.45 · @2.80
3.08Expected goals
1.41Persita xG
1.67Bali United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–06%
0–26%
From our goals model: Persita 1.4 – 1.7 Bali United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bali United to win✓
41%
2.45
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Bali United (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Persita +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Bali United to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Persita – last 6
LLLWLW
19 Apr
@ Persik Kediri
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Arema FC
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ PSM Makassar
4–2
W
26 Feb
vs Dewa United
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bali United – last 6
WLWLWD
19 Apr
vs Malut United
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
6 Apr
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6–1
W
12 Mar
@ Persis Solo
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Arema FC
4–3
W
23 Feb
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
3–3
D
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persita and Bali United.
What is the prediction for Persita vs Bali United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persita vs Bali United?
On our numbers Persita have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bali United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Persita vs Bali United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persita vs Bali United?
Our predicted score is Persita 1–1 Bali United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Persita vs Bali United?
Persita vs Bali United (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Indomilk Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
