Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malut United welcome Persebaya Surabaya to Stadion Gelora Kie Raha for a Liga 1 fixture on Thursday 23 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Malut United are 7th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Persebaya Surabaya are 8th (upper half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Malut United, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Bali United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Persepam Madura Utd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Persebaya Surabaya, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Malut United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malut United 1.4 xG, Persebaya Surabaya 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malut United 48%, draw 25%, Persebaya Surabaya 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malut United 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malut United48%fair 2.10 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.55
Persebaya Surabaya27%fair 3.65 · @4.00
2.68Expected goals
1.43Malut United xG
1.25Persebaya Surabaya xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Malut United 1.4 – 1.2 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malut United to win✗
48%
2.10
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Malut United (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Malut United to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malut United / FT Malut United✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Malut United – last 6
LLDDWL
19 Apr
@ Bali United
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arema FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs PSM Makassar
3–3
D
3 Mar
@ Persepam Madura Utd
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Persija
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 5
LWDWL
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malut United and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Malut United have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Persebaya Surabaya 27%.
How many goals will there be in Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Malut United 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Malut United vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gelora Kie Raha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
