Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMalut United to win ✓82% · @1.11
Double chanceMalut United or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.64
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSBS Biak Numfor welcome Malut United to Stadion Maguwoharjo for a Liga 1 fixture on Tuesday 28 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
PSBS Biak Numfor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Pusamania Borneo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Malut United, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Persebaya Surabaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Malut United, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for PSBS Biak Numfor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSBS Biak Numfor 0.8 xG, Malut United 3.3 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSBS Biak Numfor 6%, draw 12%, Malut United 82%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Malut United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSBS Biak Numfor6%fair 16.67 · @16.00
Draw12%fair 8.11 · @7.20
Malut United82%fair 1.22 · @1.11
4.02Expected goals
0.77PSBS Biak Numfor xG
3.25Malut United xG
54%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–310%
0–29%
0–48%
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
From our goals model: PSBS Biak Numfor 0.8 – 3.3 Malut United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malut United to win✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Double chance
Malut United or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Malut United (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Malut United -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.45
First team to score
Malut United to score first✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Malut United ahead at half-time✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malut United / FT Malut United✗
62%
1.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
PSBS Biak Numfor – last 6
LLLLLD
11 Apr
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–5
L
6 Apr
@ Bali United
1–6
L
9 Mar
vs Semen Padang
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Persik Kediri
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Persis Solo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malut United – last 6
LLLDDW
23 Apr
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Bali United
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arema FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs PSM Makassar
3–3
D
3 Mar
@ Persepam Madura Utd
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSBS Biak Numfor and Malut United.
What is the prediction for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
On our numbers PSBS Biak Numfor have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Malut United 82%.
How many goals will there be in PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
Our predicted score is PSBS Biak Numfor 0–3 Malut United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United?
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Malut United (Liga 1) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maguwoharjo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
