Arema FC vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:30 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Arema FC v PSM Makassar in the Liga 1, played at Stadion Kanjuruhan. In the table, Arema FC are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arema FC, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Persik Kediri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
PSM Makassar, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bali United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arema FC 1.6 xG, PSM Makassar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arema FC 44%, draw 24%, PSM Makassar 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arema FC 1–1 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arema FC44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.35
PSM Makassar32%fair 3.15 · @2.80
2.88Expected goals
1.63Arema FC xG
1.25PSM Makassar xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Arema FC 1.6 – 1.3 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arema FC to win✓
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Draw no bet
Arema FC (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
PSM Makassar +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Arema FC to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arema FC / FT Arema FC✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Arema FC – last 6
LLDWWD
3 May
@ Persik Kediri
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Persis Solo
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Malut United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
LWWDDL
27 Apr
@ Bali United
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persis Solo
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Malut United
3–3
D
2 Mar
vs Persita
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arema FC and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Arema FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSM Makassar 32%.
How many goals will there be in Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Arema FC 1–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arema FC vs PSM Makassar?
Arema FC vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kanjuruhan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persis Solo0