Value bet: Persebaya Surabaya to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persebaya Surabaya travel to face Persis Solo on Saturday 9 May in the Liga 1, with Manahan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Persis Solo, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Persija Jakarta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over PSBS Biak Numfor, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persis Solo 1.2 xG, Persebaya Surabaya 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persis Solo 36%, draw 26%, Persebaya Surabaya 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Persebaya Surabaya to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persis Solo 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persis Solo36%fair 2.79 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.45
Persebaya Surabaya39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
2.59Expected goals
1.18Persis Solo xG
1.42Persebaya Surabaya xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Persis Solo 1.2 – 1.4 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✗
39%
2.59
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Persis Solo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Persis Solo – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Apr
@ Persija Jakarta
0–4
L
22 Apr
vs Bhayangkara FC
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Arema FC
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Semen Padang
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Bali United
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WWWLWD
2 May
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
4–0
W
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persis Solo and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persis Solo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Persebaya Surabaya 39%.
How many goals will there be in Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persis Solo 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persis Solo vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Manahan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
