Bali United 32%Draw 21%Pusamania Borneo 47%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.54
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Bali United to win @ 3.95 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPusamania Borneo to win ✓47% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Bali United v Pusamania Borneo in the Liga 1, played at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. In the table, Bali United are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Pusamania Borneo are 11th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Bali United, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Persepam Madura Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Pusamania Borneo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Persita, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bali United 1.6 xG, Pusamania Borneo 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bali United 32%, draw 21%, Pusamania Borneo 47%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Bali United to win @3.95 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bali United 1–1 Pusamania Borneo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bali United32%fair 3.14 · @3.95
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.95
Pusamania Borneo47%fair 2.13 · @1.68
3.10Expected goals
1.56Bali United xG
1.54Pusamania Borneo xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Bali United 1.6 – 1.5 Pusamania Borneo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pusamania Borneo to win✓
47%
2.13
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Draw no bet
Pusamania Borneo (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pusamania Borneo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
First team to score
Bali United to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Bali United – last 6
LWWWLW
5 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Malut United
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
6 Apr
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pusamania Borneo – last 6
WWWWDD
5 May
vs Persita
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Persik Kediri
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
5–1
W
5 Apr
@ Persepam Madura Utd
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Persija
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bali United and Pusamania Borneo.
What is the prediction for Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo?
On our numbers Bali United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pusamania Borneo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo?
Our predicted score is Bali United 1–1 Pusamania Borneo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo?
Bali United vs Pusamania Borneo (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
