Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Liga 1 brings Bhayangkara FC against Persepam Madura Utd at Sumpah Pemuda. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Bhayangkara FC are 9th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Persepam Madura Utd are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Bhayangkara FC, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Persib Bandung, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Persepam Madura Utd, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bali United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bhayangkara FC 1.5 xG, Persepam Madura Utd 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bhayangkara FC 42%, draw 25%, Persepam Madura Utd 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bhayangkara FC 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bhayangkara FC42%fair 2.41 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Persepam Madura Utd34%fair 2.96 · @2.85
2.81Expected goals
1.50Bhayangkara FC xG
1.31Persepam Madura Utd xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Bhayangkara FC 1.5 – 1.3 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bhayangkara FC to win✓
42%
2.41
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Bhayangkara FC (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Persepam Madura Utd +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Bhayangkara FC to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
LLWWWW
30 Apr
vs Persib Bandung
2–4
L
22 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Persija
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Arema FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dewa United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Persepam Madura Utd – last 6
WWLWWL
5 May
vs Bali United
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Semen Padang
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bhayangkara FC and Persepam Madura Utd.
What is the prediction for Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Bhayangkara FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Persepam Madura Utd 34%.
How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Bhayangkara FC 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sumpah Pemuda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
