BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BSG Chemie Leipzig welcome Lokomotive Leipzig to Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark for a Regionalliga Nordost fixture on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Lokomotive Leipzig are 9th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
BSG Chemie Leipzig, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Hertha Zehlendorf, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lokomotive Leipzig, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lokomotive Leipzig, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.3 xG, Lokomotive Leipzig 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BSG Chemie Leipzig 23%, draw 21%, Lokomotive Leipzig 56%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Lokomotive Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig23%fair 4.43 · @6.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.40
Lokomotive Leipzig56%fair 1.78 · @1.40
3.00Expected goals
1.26BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.73Lokomotive Leipzig xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.3 – 1.7 Lokomotive Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotive Leipzig to win
56%
1.78
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Lokomotive Leipzig (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
BSG Chemie Leipzig +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Lokomotive Leipzig to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotive Leipzig / FT Lokomotive Leipzig
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6
WDLWDL
7 Apr
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
5–0
W
2 Apr
@ Altglienicke
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ SV Babelsberg 03
0–5
L
22 Mar
vs Luckenwalde
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs BFC Preussen
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ BFC Dynamo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lokomotive Leipzig – last 6
WLWLWW
4 Apr
vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Hertha Zehlendorf
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Hertha BSC II
4–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–2
L
4 Mar
@ ZFC Meuselwitz
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Eilenburg
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BSG Chemie Leipzig and Lokomotive Leipzig.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotive Leipzig 56%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Lokomotive Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Lokomotive Leipzig (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
