Value bet: Greifswalder FC to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGreifswalder FC to win ✗47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Greifswalder FC welcome FSV Zwickau to Volksstadion Greifswald for a Regionalliga Nordost fixture on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Greifswalder FC are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; FSV Zwickau are 11th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Greifswalder FC, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SV Babelsberg 03, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FSV Zwickau, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to FC Carl Zeiss Jena, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FSV Zwickau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Greifswalder FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Greifswalder FC 1.8 xG, FSV Zwickau 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Greifswalder FC 47%, draw 22%, FSV Zwickau 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Greifswalder FC to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Greifswalder FC 1–1 FSV Zwickau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Greifswalder FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.40
FSV Zwickau31%fair 3.24 · @2.45
3.04Expected goals
1.81Greifswalder FC xG
1.23FSV Zwickau xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Greifswalder FC 1.8 – 1.2 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Greifswalder FC to win✗
47%
2.15
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Greifswalder FC (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
FSV Zwickau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Greifswalder FC to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Greifswalder FC / FT Greifswalder FC✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Greifswalder FC – last 6
DDLWLL
8 Apr
vs SV Babelsberg 03
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ BFC Preussen
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Magdeburg II
1–3
L
10 Mar
@ Hertha BSC II
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Hallescher FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FSV Zwickau – last 6
LDWLWW
8 Apr
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–5
L
5 Apr
vs BFC Dynamo
2–2
D
24 Mar
vs Hertha BSC II
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Hallescher FC
0–3
L
13 Mar
vs Hertha Zehlendorf
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs SV Babelsberg 03
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greifswalder FC and FSV Zwickau.
What is the prediction for Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau?
On our numbers Greifswalder FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FSV Zwickau 31%.
How many goals will there be in Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau?
Our predicted score is Greifswalder FC 1–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau?
Greifswalder FC vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Volksstadion Greifswald.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
