SV Babelsberg 03 v Luckenwalde Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSV Babelsberg 03 to win ✗53% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 17 April the Regionalliga Nordost brings SV Babelsberg 03 against Luckenwalde at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, SV Babelsberg 03 are 12th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Luckenwalde are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

SV Babelsberg 03, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Greifswalder FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Luckenwalde, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hallescher FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours SV Babelsberg 03, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Luckenwalde.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SV Babelsberg 03 1.8 xG, Luckenwalde 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – SV Babelsberg 03 53%, draw 23%, Luckenwalde 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SV Babelsberg 03 1–1 Luckenwalde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SV Babelsberg 0353%fair 1.88 · @1.95

Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.55

Luckenwalde24%fair 4.18 · @3.30

2.97Expected goals

1.82SV Babelsberg 03 xG

1.15Luckenwalde xG

61%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–110%

1–09%

2–09%

1–26%

3–16%

From our goals model: SV Babelsberg 03 1.8 – 1.1 Luckenwalde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SV Babelsberg 03 to win ✗	53%	1.88	1.95
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.65	1.60
Draw no bet	SV Babelsberg 03 (draw no bet) ✗	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Luckenwalde +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.51	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	–
First team to score	SV Babelsberg 03 to score first	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	SV Babelsberg 03 ahead at half-time ✗	39%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT SV Babelsberg 03 / FT SV Babelsberg 03 ✗	33%	3.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.23	–

SV Babelsberg 03 – last 6

DWDWDW

8 Apr	@ Greifswalder FC	0–0	D
4 Apr	vs Hertha Zehlendorf	4–0	W
1 Apr	vs BFC Dynamo	2–2	D
27 Mar	vs BSG Chemie Leipzig	5–0	W
15 Mar	@ Altglienicke	1–1	D
6 Mar	vs Eilenburg	2–1	W

2.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Luckenwalde – last 6

LLLWLW

7 Apr	vs Hallescher FC	1–4	L
4 Apr	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0–1	L
28 Mar	@ BFC Preussen	1–3	L
25 Mar	@ BFC Dynamo	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ BSG Chemie Leipzig	0–1	L
11 Mar	@ Altglienicke	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?

On our numbers SV Babelsberg 03 have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Luckenwalde 24%.

How many goals will there be in SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?

Our predicted score is SV Babelsberg 03 1–1 Luckenwalde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde?

SV Babelsberg 03 vs Luckenwalde (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Karl-Liebknecht-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

SV Babelsberg 03 v Luckenwalde: numbers & prediction