FC Carl Zeiss Jena v Greifswalder FC Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Carl Zeiss Jena to win ✓58% · @1.48

Double chanceFC Carl Zeiss Jena or draw ✓81% · @1.06

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.27

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 17 April: FC Carl Zeiss Jena v Greifswalder FC in the Regionalliga Nordost, played at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld. In the table, FC Carl Zeiss Jena are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Greifswalder FC are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Carl Zeiss Jena, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over BFC Preussen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Greifswalder FC, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FSV Zwickau, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Carl Zeiss Jena, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Greifswalder FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1.7 xG, Greifswalder FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – FC Carl Zeiss Jena 58%, draw 23%, Greifswalder FC 19%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1–1 Greifswalder FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Carl Zeiss Jena58%fair 1.72 · @1.48

Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.90

Greifswalder FC19%fair 5.30 · @6.00

2.76Expected goals

1.72FC Carl Zeiss Jena xG

1.04Greifswalder FC xG

58%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–011%

2–110%

2–09%

0–17%

0–06%

From our goals model: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1.7 – 1.0 Greifswalder FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Carl Zeiss Jena to win ✓	58%	1.72	1.48
Double chance	FC Carl Zeiss Jena or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.06
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.67
Draw no bet	FC Carl Zeiss Jena (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Greifswalder FC +1 (Asian handicap)	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.50	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	FC Carl Zeiss Jena to score first ✗	58%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Carl Zeiss Jena / FT FC Carl Zeiss Jena ✗	33%	3.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.27	–

FC Carl Zeiss Jena – last 6

WWWWLL

12 Apr	@ BFC Preussen	2–0	W
8 Apr	vs FSV Zwickau	5–1	W
4 Apr	vs Luckenwalde	1–0	W
1 Apr	@ Hertha Zehlendorf	3–0	W
22 Mar	@ Chemnitzer FC	1–4	L
13 Mar	vs ZFC Meuselwitz	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Greifswalder FC – last 6

LDDLWL

12 Apr	vs FSV Zwickau	1–2	L
8 Apr	vs SV Babelsberg 03	0–0	D
5 Apr	@ BFC Preussen	0–0	D
25 Mar	vs Magdeburg II	1–3	L
10 Mar	@ Hertha BSC II	1–0	W
4 Mar	vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC?

On our numbers FC Carl Zeiss Jena have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Greifswalder FC 19%.

How many goals will there be in FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC?

Our predicted score is FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1–1 Greifswalder FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC?

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Greifswalder FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena v Greifswalder FC: numbers & prediction