Value bet: Swit to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSwit to win57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.09
Swit vs Mławianka Mława: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mławianka Mława travel to face Swit on Saturday 21 March in the III Liga Group 1, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Swit are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Mławianka Mława are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swit 2.3 xG, Mławianka Mława 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swit 57%, draw 19%, Mławianka Mława 24%.
Price worth noting: Swit to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swit 2–1 Mławianka Mława. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swit57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.75
Mławianka Mława24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
3.77Expected goals
2.34Swit xG
1.43Mławianka Mława xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Swit 2.3 – 1.4 Mławianka Mława expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swit to win
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Swit (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Mławianka Mława +1.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
Swit to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Swit ahead at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swit / FT Swit
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Swit – last 1
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mławianka Mława – last 2
LL
7 Mar
@ Wisła Płock II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Warta Sieradz
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swit and Mławianka Mława.
What is the prediction for Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
On our numbers Swit have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mławianka Mława 24%.
How many goals will there be in Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
Our predicted score is Swit 2–1 Mławianka Mława, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
Swit vs Mławianka Mława (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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