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Bełchatów v Lechia T. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 1 · Poland · GIEKSA Arena

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Bełchatów 38%Draw 22%Lechia T. Mazowiecki 40% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.64

63%

Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53

6/10Rating

1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultLechia T. Mazowiecki to win40% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · fair 1.77

GoalsOver 2.5 goals63% · @1.53

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.65

Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lechia T. Mazowiecki travel to face Bełchatów on Saturday 21 March in the III Liga Group 1, with GIEKSA Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bełchatów 1.8 xG, Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bełchatów 38%, draw 22%, Lechia T. Mazowiecki 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bełchatów 2–1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bełchatów38%fair 2.62 · @2.75

Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.80

Lechia T. Mazowiecki40%fair 2.52 · @2.05

3.40Expected goals

1.76Bełchatów xG

1.64Lechia T. Mazowiecki xG

56%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

0–15%

From our goals model: Bełchatów 1.8 – 1.6 Lechia T. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win	40%	2.52	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win	78%	1.29	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	56%	1.77	–
Draw no bet	Lechia T. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)	51%	1.96	–
Asian handicap	Lechia T. Mazowiecki +1 (Asian handicap)	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	63%	1.58	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	74%	1.35	–
First team to score	Bełchatów to score first	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	37%	2.72	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bełchatów / FT Bełchatów	25%	4.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	8%	12.65	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bełchatów and Lechia T. Mazowiecki.

Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Weszlo	16	11	2	3	+14	35
2	Wigry Suwałki	16	10	4	2	+16	34
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	16	9	3	4	+10	30
4	Swit	16	9	2	5	+9	29
5	Warta Sieradz	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Ząbkovia Ząbki	16	7	4	5	+4	25
7	Wisła Płock II	16	7	4	5	+2	25
8	Pelikan Łowicz	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Olimpia Zambrów	16	7	3	6	+1	24
10	ŁKS Łódź II	16	6	3	7	-2	21
11	Olimpia Elbląg	16	6	3	7	-3	21
12	Jagiellonia II	16	5	5	6	-1	20
13	Widzew II	16	5	4	7	+2	19
14	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	16	5	3	8	-2	18
15	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	16	5	2	9	-8	17
16	Mławianka Mława	16	4	2	10	-15	14
17	Troszyn	16	3	5	8	-15	14
18	Łomża	16	0	4	12	-20	4

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Wisła Płock II2

Wigry Suwałki2 139%2.05X23%3.70239%2.80 1.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.65 ✓

–

Swit1

Mławianka Mława0 157%1.95X19%3.75224%2.90 2.3–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.57

–

Wasilków0

Olimpia Elbląg0 128%3.60X24%3.75249%1.75 1.4–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.67

–

Troszyn

Ząbkovia Ząbki 144%1.95X23%3.80233%2.88 1.7–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53

–

Broń Radom

Łomża 131%4.50X22%4.00247%1.55 1.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 59%@1.62

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Bełchatów have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lechia T. Mazowiecki 40%.

How many goals will there be in Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Bełchatów 2–1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Bełchatów vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at GIEKSA Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.