Bełchatów 38%Draw 23%Jagiellonia II 39%Expected goals 1.59 – 1.59
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultJagiellonia II to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.97
Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bełchatów welcome Jagiellonia II to Stadion GKS-u for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Bełchatów, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Widzew II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Jagiellonia II, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Troszyn, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jagiellonia II, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Bełchatów.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bełchatów 1.6 xG, Jagiellonia II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bełchatów 38%, draw 23%, Jagiellonia II 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bełchatów 1–2 Jagiellonia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bełchatów38%fair 2.66 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
Jagiellonia II39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
3.19Expected goals
1.59Bełchatów xG
1.59Jagiellonia II xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bełchatów 1.6 – 1.6 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia II to win✓
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Jagiellonia II (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Bełchatów +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Jagiellonia II to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Bełchatów – last 4
LWLL
13 May
vs Widzew II
1–3
L
8 May
@ Wikielec
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Wasilków
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Legia Warszawa II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II – last 6
LWLDWW
17 May
vs Troszyn
0–1
L
13 May
@ Mławianka Mława
1–0
W
10 May
vs Łomża
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bełchatów and Jagiellonia II.
What is the prediction for Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Bełchatów have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jagiellonia II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Bełchatów 1–2 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GKS-u.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.