Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Troszyn to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTroszyn to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Troszyn vs Łomża: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Łomża travel to face Troszyn on Saturday 23 May in the III Liga Group 1, with Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Troszyn are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Łomża are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Troszyn, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jagiellonia II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Troszyn 1.7 xG, Łomża 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Troszyn 40%, draw 23%, Łomża 37%.
Price worth noting: Troszyn to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Troszyn 2–1 Łomża. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Troszyn40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Łomża37%fair 2.70 · @2.10
3.10Expected goals
1.69Troszyn xG
1.41Łomża xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Troszyn 1.7 – 1.4 Łomża expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Troszyn to win✗
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Troszyn (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Łomża +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Troszyn to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Troszyn / FT Troszyn✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Troszyn – last 6
WWDWLW
17 May
@ Jagiellonia II
1–0
W
13 May
vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
4–1
W
8 May
@ Broń Radom
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Znicz Biała Piska
2–0
W
25 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa II
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Łomża – last 2
LW
13 May
@ Swit
2–3
L
10 May
@ Jagiellonia II
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Troszyn and Łomża.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Troszyn vs Łomża?
On our numbers Troszyn have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Łomża 37%.
How many goals will there be in Troszyn vs Łomża?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Troszyn vs Łomża?
Our predicted score is Troszyn 2–1 Łomża, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Troszyn vs Łomża?
Troszyn vs Łomża (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wasilków1
Broń Radom4
Znicz Biała Piska3
Bełchatów1
Wikielec1