Pogoń Szczecin II v Lech Poznań II Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPogoń Szczecin II to win ✗42% · @2.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.47

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Pogoń Szczecin II v Lech Poznań II in the III Liga Group 2, played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Current form

Pogoń Szczecin II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luzino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Lech Poznań II, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Flota Świnoujście, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lech Poznań II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Pogoń Szczecin II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Szczecin II 2.2 xG, Lech Poznań II 1.8 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Szczecin II 42%, draw 20%, Lech Poznań II 38%.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.45, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Lech Poznań II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogoń Szczecin II42%fair 2.41 · @2.80

Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.70

Lech Poznań II38%fair 2.62 · @2.05

3.97Expected goals

2.18Pogoń Szczecin II xG

1.79Lech Poznań II xG

58%Both score

69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

1–17%

2–27%

1–27%

3–16%

3–25%

From our goals model: Pogoń Szczecin II 2.2 – 1.8 Lech Poznań II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Pogoń Szczecin II to win ✗	42%	2.41	2.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.25	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.71	–
Draw no bet	Pogoń Szczecin II (draw no bet)	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Lech Poznań II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	–
First team to score	Pogoń Szczecin II to score first	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Pogoń Szczecin II ahead at half-time ✗	38%	2.63	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Pogoń Szczecin II / FT Pogoń Szczecin II ✗	30%	3.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.47	–

Pogoń Szczecin II – last 6

LLLWLL

15 Apr	vs Luzino	1–2	L
12 Apr	vs Victoria Września	1–2	L
3 Apr	@ Unia Swarzędz	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Stargard Szczeciński	3–0	W
13 Mar	@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1–2	L
1 Mar	@ Polonia Środa	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Lech Poznań II – last 6

WLWDDL

19 Apr	vs Flota Świnoujście	3–1	W
15 Apr	@ Noteć Czarnków	1–2	L
10 Apr	@ Wda Świecie	3–2	W
4 Apr	vs Stargard Szczeciński	1–1	D
21 Mar	vs Polonia Środa	1–1	D
7 Mar	@ Kluczevia Stargard	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II?

On our numbers Pogoń Szczecin II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lech Poznań II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II?

Our predicted score is Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Lech Poznań II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II?

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Lech Poznań II (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pogoń Szczecin II v Lech Poznań II: numbers & prediction