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Flota Świnoujście v Unia Swarzędz: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 2 · Poland · Stadion Miejski
Sat 25 Apr 2026
Flota Świnoujście 31%Draw 24%Unia Swarzędz 45% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.65
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73

4/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Unia Swarzędz to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultUnia Swarzędz to win45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34% · fair 23.49

Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 April the III Liga Group 2 brings Flota Świnoujście against Unia Swarzędz at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Flota Świnoujście are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Unia Swarzędz are 7th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Flota Świnoujście, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lech Poznań II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Unia Swarzędz, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polonia Środa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Unia Swarzędz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Flota Świnoujście.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Flota Świnoujście 1.2 xG, Unia Swarzędz 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Flota Świnoujście 31%, draw 24%, Unia Swarzędz 45%.
  • Price worth noting: Unia Swarzędz to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flota Świnoujście 1–2 Unia Swarzędz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Flota Świnoujście31%fair 3.23 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Unia Swarzędz45%fair 2.20 · @2.35
2.87Expected goals
1.22Flota Świnoujście xG
1.65Unia Swarzędz xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Flota Świnoujście 1.2 – 1.7 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnia Swarzędz to win45%2.202.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%2.00–
Draw no betUnia Swarzędz (draw no bet)60%1.68–
Asian handicapFlota Świnoujście +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.19–
First team to scoreUnia Swarzędz to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34%23.49–

Recent results

Flota Świnoujście – last 6

LWLLLW
19 Apr@ Lech Poznań II1–3L
4 Apr@ Kluczevia Stargard3–2W
1 Apr@ Polonia Środa2–6L
25 Marvs Noteć Czarnków2–4L
6 Mar@ Luzino0–2L
28 Febvs Tłuchowia1–0W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Unia Swarzędz – last 4

WWDW
10 Apr@ Polonia Środa1–0W
3 Aprvs Pogoń Szczecin II1–0W
7 Marvs Wda Świecie0–0D
1 Mar@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce4–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Flota Świnoujście and Unia Swarzędz.

Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

On our numbers Flota Świnoujście have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unia Swarzędz 45%.

How many goals will there be in Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our predicted score is Flota Świnoujście 1–2 Unia Swarzędz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?

Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.