Value bet: Unia Swarzędz to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUnia Swarzędz to win45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34% · fair 23.49
Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 25 April the III Liga Group 2 brings Flota Świnoujście against Unia Swarzędz at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Flota Świnoujście are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Unia Swarzędz are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Flota Świnoujście, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lech Poznań II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Unia Swarzędz, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Polonia Środa, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Unia Swarzędz, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Flota Świnoujście.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Flota Świnoujście 1.2 xG, Unia Swarzędz 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Flota Świnoujście 31%, draw 24%, Unia Swarzędz 45%.
Price worth noting: Unia Swarzędz to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Flota Świnoujście 1–2 Unia Swarzędz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Flota Świnoujście31%fair 3.23 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Unia Swarzędz45%fair 2.20 · @2.35
2.87Expected goals
1.22Flota Świnoujście xG
1.65Unia Swarzędz xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Flota Świnoujście 1.2 – 1.7 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unia Swarzędz to win
45%
2.20
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Unia Swarzędz (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Flota Świnoujście +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Unia Swarzędz to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
4%
23.49
–
Recent results
Flota Świnoujście – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ Kluczevia Stargard
3–2
W
1 Apr
@ Polonia Środa
2–6
L
25 Mar
vs Noteć Czarnków
2–4
L
6 Mar
@ Luzino
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Tłuchowia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Unia Swarzędz – last 4
WWDW
10 Apr
@ Polonia Środa
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Wda Świecie
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flota Świnoujście and Unia Swarzędz.
What is the prediction for Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?
On our numbers Flota Świnoujście have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Unia Swarzędz 45%.
How many goals will there be in Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?
Our predicted score is Flota Świnoujście 1–2 Unia Swarzędz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz?
Flota Świnoujście vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.