Value bet: Vianense to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVianense to win ✓41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Vilaverdense vs Vianense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vianense travel to face Vilaverdense on Sunday 8 March in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A, with Estadio Cruz do Reguengo the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Vilaverdense, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tirsense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Vianense, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Camacha, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vianense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Vilaverdense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vilaverdense 1.1 xG, Vianense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vilaverdense 33%, draw 26%, Vianense 41%.
Price worth noting: Vianense to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vilaverdense 1–1 Vianense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vilaverdense33%fair 3.03 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Vianense41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.50Expected goals
1.11Vilaverdense xG
1.39Vianense xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Vilaverdense 1.1 – 1.4 Vianense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vianense to win✓
41%
2.41
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Vianense (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Vilaverdense +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Vianense to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vianense / FT Vianense✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.79
–
Recent results
Vilaverdense – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
@ Tirsense
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Chaves II
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Os Limianos
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vianense – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Camacha
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Machico
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Brito
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vilaverdense and Vianense.
What is the prediction for Vilaverdense vs Vianense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vilaverdense vs Vianense?
On our numbers Vilaverdense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vianense 41%.
How many goals will there be in Vilaverdense vs Vianense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vilaverdense vs Vianense?
Our predicted score is Vilaverdense 1–1 Vianense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vilaverdense vs Vianense?
Vilaverdense vs Vianense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cruz do Reguengo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mirandela0
Os Limianos0
Celoricense0
Tirsense0