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Celoricense v Tirsense: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A · Portugal · Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto
0–0
FT
Celoricense 46%Draw 26%Tirsense 28% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.15
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeloricense to win ✗46% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94

Celoricense vs Tirsense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A brings Celoricense against Tirsense at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Celoricense are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Tirsense are 4th (among the top four) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Celoricense, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chaves II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Tirsense, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vilaverdense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Celoricense, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Tirsense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celoricense 1.3 xG, Tirsense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celoricense 46%, draw 26%, Tirsense 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celoricense 1–1 Tirsense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celoricense46%fair 2.18 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.20
Tirsense28%fair 3.53 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.32Celoricense xG
1.15Tirsense xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Celoricense 1.3 – 1.1 Tirsense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeloricense to win ✗46%2.181.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.35–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betCeloricense (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapTirsense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreCeloricense to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celoricense / FT Celoricense ✗23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.94–

Recent results

Celoricense – last 3

WDW
1 Mar@ Chaves II2–1W
22 Febvs Os Limianos1–1D
15 Feb@ Monção2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tirsense – last 3

WDD
1 Marvs Vilaverdense1–0W
21 Feb@ Camacha0–0D
15 Febvs Machico2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Celoricense and Tirsense.

Celoricense vs Tirsense head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Limianos8530+718
2SC Braga B8440+716
3Bragança8512+416
4Tirsense8503+415
5Chaves II8404+212
6Montalegre8332+412
7Celoricense8332+212
8Maia Lidador8323+111
9Rebordosa8242+710
10Ponte da Barca8314-410
11Vila Meã8233+19
12Brito8215-87
13Maria da Fonte8215-67
14Vinhais8008-210

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celoricense vs Tirsense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Celoricense vs Tirsense?

On our numbers Celoricense have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tirsense 28%.

How many goals will there be in Celoricense vs Tirsense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celoricense vs Tirsense?

Our predicted score is Celoricense 1–1 Tirsense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Celoricense vs Tirsense?

Celoricense vs Tirsense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.