Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Monção vs Chaves II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Monção v Chaves II in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A, played at Estadio Manuel Lima.
Current form
Monção, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Os Limianos, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chaves II, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mirandela, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monção 1.1 xG, Chaves II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monção 31%, draw 26%, Chaves II 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monção 1–1 Chaves II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monção31%fair 3.27 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Chaves II43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
2.53Expected goals
1.15Monção xG
1.38Chaves II xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Monção 1.1 – 1.4 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves II to win✓
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Chaves II (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Monção +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Chaves II to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves II / FT Chaves II✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.08
–
Recent results
Monção – last 5
LWLDL
15 Mar
@ Os Limianos
1–4
L
8 Mar
@ Bragança
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Ribeira Brava
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Celoricense
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 5
LWLDD
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monção and Chaves II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Monção vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Monção have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chaves II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Monção vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monção vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Monção 1–1 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Monção vs Chaves II?
Monção vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Lima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Camacha2
Machico1
Vilaverdense0
AR São Martinho0
Ribeira Brava1
Vianense5
Mirandela0