Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Celoricense vs AR São Martinho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A brings Celoricense against AR São Martinho at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Celoricense, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vianense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
AR São Martinho, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vilaverdense, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours Celoricense, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.2 for AR São Martinho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celoricense 1.5 xG, AR São Martinho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celoricense 55%, draw 26%, AR São Martinho 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celoricense 1–0 AR São Martinho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celoricense55%fair 1.80 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
AR São Martinho19%fair 5.25 · @5.00
2.39Expected goals
1.50Celoricense xG
0.90AR São Martinho xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Celoricense 1.5 – 0.9 AR São Martinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celoricense to win✗
55%
1.80
1.60
Double chance
Celoricense or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Celoricense (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
AR São Martinho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Celoricense to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celoricense / FT Celoricense✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Recent results
Celoricense – last 5
LDWDW
15 Mar
@ Vianense
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Tirsense
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Chaves II
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Os Limianos
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Monção
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
AR São Martinho – last 5
LLLLD
15 Mar
vs Vilaverdense
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Camacha
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Machico
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Brito
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bragança
0–0
D
0.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celoricense and AR São Martinho.
What is the prediction for Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
On our numbers Celoricense have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AR São Martinho 19%.
How many goals will there be in Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Our predicted score is Celoricense 1–0 AR São Martinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celoricense vs AR São Martinho?
Celoricense vs AR São Martinho (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Camacha2
Machico1
Vilaverdense0
Monção1
Ribeira Brava1
Vianense5
Mirandela0