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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vila Meã v Aparecida: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal · Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã
1–1
FT
Vila Meã 53%Draw 25%Aparecida 21% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.02
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultVila Meã to win ✗53% · @1.65
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38

Vila Meã vs Aparecida: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 March the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B brings Vila Meã against Aparecida at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Vila Meã, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Alpendorada, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Aparecida, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Resende, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aparecida, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Vila Meã.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vila Meã 1.5 xG, Aparecida 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Meã 53%, draw 25%, Aparecida 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Meã 1–1 Aparecida. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vila Meã53%fair 1.87 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Aparecida21%fair 4.66 · @4.50
2.56Expected goals
1.54Vila Meã xG
1.02Aparecida xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vila Meã 1.5 – 1.0 Aparecida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVila Meã to win ✗53%1.871.65
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betVila Meã (draw no bet)71%1.40–
Asian handicapAparecida +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreVila Meã to score first ✓56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã ✗30%3.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.38–

Recent results

Vila Meã – last 3

LDD
1 Mar@ Alpendorada2–3L
22 Febvs Resende0–0D
15 Feb@ Cinfães1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aparecida – last 3

WDL
1 Marvs Resende3–1W
22 Feb@ Salgueiros1–1D
15 Febvs Beira-Mar1–5L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vila Meã and Aparecida.

Vila Meã vs Aparecida head-to-head page →

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vila Meã vs Aparecida?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Vila Meã vs Aparecida?

On our numbers Vila Meã have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aparecida 21%.

How many goals will there be in Vila Meã vs Aparecida?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vila Meã vs Aparecida?

Our predicted score is Vila Meã 1–1 Aparecida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vila Meã vs Aparecida?

Vila Meã vs Aparecida (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.