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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

União Lamas v Alpendorada: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal · Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim
1–0
FT
União Lamas 34%Draw 27%Alpendorada 39% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.24
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlpendorada to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.09

União Lamas vs Alpendorada: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

União Lamas welcome Alpendorada to Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, União Lamas are 8th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Alpendorada are 12th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Alpendorada, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vila Meã, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give União Lamas 1.2 xG, Alpendorada 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – União Lamas 34%, draw 27%, Alpendorada 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Lamas 1–1 Alpendorada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

União Lamas34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Alpendorada39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
2.42Expected goals
1.18União Lamas xG
1.24Alpendorada xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: União Lamas 1.2 – 1.2 Alpendorada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlpendorada to win ✗39%2.562.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.36–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betAlpendorada (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapUnião Lamas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreAlpendorada to score first ✗47%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alpendorada / FT Alpendorada ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.09–

Recent results

União Lamas – last 2

LL
22 Febvs Florgrade0–1L
15 Feb@ Leça0–4L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alpendorada – last 3

WDD
1 Marvs Vila Meã3–2W
22 Febvs Cinfães0–0D
15 Feb@ Florgrade2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between União Lamas and Alpendorada.

União Lamas vs Alpendorada head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for União Lamas vs Alpendorada?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win União Lamas vs Alpendorada?

On our numbers União Lamas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alpendorada 39%.

How many goals will there be in União Lamas vs Alpendorada?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for União Lamas vs Alpendorada?

Our predicted score is União Lamas 1–1 Alpendorada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is União Lamas vs Alpendorada?

União Lamas vs Alpendorada (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.