Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlpendorada to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.09
União Lamas vs Alpendorada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União Lamas welcome Alpendorada to Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT). In the table, União Lamas are 8th, lower half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Alpendorada are 12th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Alpendorada, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vila Meã, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give União Lamas 1.2 xG, Alpendorada 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – União Lamas 34%, draw 27%, Alpendorada 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: União Lamas 1–1 Alpendorada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
União Lamas34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Alpendorada39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
2.42Expected goals
1.18União Lamas xG
1.24Alpendorada xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: União Lamas 1.2 – 1.2 Alpendorada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alpendorada to win✗
39%
2.56
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Alpendorada (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
União Lamas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alpendorada to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alpendorada / FT Alpendorada✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.09
–
Recent results
União Lamas – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Florgrade
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Leça
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alpendorada – last 3
WDD
1 Mar
vs Vila Meã
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Cinfães
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Florgrade
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Lamas and Alpendorada.
What is the prediction for União Lamas vs Alpendorada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win União Lamas vs Alpendorada?
On our numbers União Lamas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alpendorada 39%.
How many goals will there be in União Lamas vs Alpendorada?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Lamas vs Alpendorada?
Our predicted score is União Lamas 1–1 Alpendorada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is União Lamas vs Alpendorada?
União Lamas vs Alpendorada (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.