Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.67
Peniche vs Fátima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peniche welcome Fátima to Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C fixture on Saturday 14 February (16:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peniche 1.2 xG, Fátima 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peniche 42%, draw 23%, Fátima 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peniche 1–1 Fátima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peniche42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Fátima35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.19Expected goals
1.17Peniche xG
1.03Fátima xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Peniche 1.2 – 1.0 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peniche to win
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Peniche (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Fátima +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Peniche to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peniche / FT Peniche
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.67
–
Recent results
Peniche
No recent results on record.
Fátima
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peniche and Fátima.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Peniche vs Fátima?
On our numbers Peniche have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fátima 35%.
How many goals will there be in Peniche vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peniche vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is Peniche 1–1 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Peniche vs Fátima?
Peniche vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Grupo Desportivo Peniche.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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