Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Os Marialvas travel to face Lusitânia on Saturday 14 February in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C, with Campo de Jogos de São Mateus da Calheta the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lusitânia 0.9 xG, Os Marialvas 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lusitânia 23%, draw 27%, Os Marialvas 50%.
Lower-risk option: Os Marialvas or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Os Marialvas or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lusitânia 0–1 Os Marialvas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lusitânia23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.70
Os Marialvas50%fair 2.02 · @2.10
2.48Expected goals
0.87Lusitânia xG
1.62Os Marialvas xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Lusitânia 0.9 – 1.6 Os Marialvas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Os Marialvas to win✓
50%
2.02
2.10
Double chance
Os Marialvas or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Os Marialvas (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Lusitânia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Os Marialvas to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Os Marialvas / FT Os Marialvas✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Lusitânia
No recent results on record.
Os Marialvas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia and Os Marialvas.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas?
Our pick is Os Marialvas or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas?
On our numbers Lusitânia have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Os Marialvas 50%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia 0–1 Os Marialvas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas?
Lusitânia vs Os Marialvas (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Jogos de São Mateus da Calheta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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