Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Fátima vs Samora Correir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C brings Fátima against Samora Correir at Estadio Papa Francisco. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fátima 1.6 xG, Samora Correir 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fátima 56%, draw 25%, Samora Correir 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fátima to win (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fátima 1–0 Samora Correir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fátima56%fair 1.78 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Samora Correir18%fair 5.42 · @4.75
2.56Expected goals
1.63Fátima xG
0.93Samora Correir xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fátima 1.6 – 0.9 Samora Correir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fátima to win✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Double chance
Fátima or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Fátima (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Samora Correir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Fátima to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fátima / FT Fátima✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Recent results
Fátima
No recent results on record.
Samora Correir – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Lajense
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fátima and Samora Correir.
What is the prediction for Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Our pick is Fátima to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Fátima vs Samora Correir?
On our numbers Fátima have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samora Correir 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fátima vs Samora Correir?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Our predicted score is Fátima 1–0 Samora Correir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fátima vs Samora Correir?
Fátima vs Samora Correir (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Papa Francisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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