Benfica Castelo Branco v Samora Correir Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBenfica Castelo Branco to win54% · @1.42

Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · fair 1.98

GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.73

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 April the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C brings Benfica Castelo Branco against Samora Correir at Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Benfica Castelo Branco, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vitória de Sernache, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Samora Correir, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Peniche, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Benfica Castelo Branco 1.6 xG, Samora Correir 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica Castelo Branco 54%, draw 23%, Samora Correir 24%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Benfica Castelo Branco to win (54%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica Castelo Branco 2–1 Samora Correir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Benfica Castelo Branco54%fair 1.86 · @1.42

Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.90

Samora Correir24%fair 4.24 · @6.50

2.86Expected goals

1.62Benfica Castelo Branco xG

1.24Samora Correir xG

50%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–09%

2–08%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: Benfica Castelo Branco 1.6 – 1.2 Samora Correir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Benfica Castelo Branco to win	54%	1.86	1.42
Double chance	Either team to win	77%	1.29	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	50%	1.98	–
Draw no bet	Benfica Castelo Branco (draw no bet)	70%	1.44	–
Asian handicap	Samora Correir +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96	2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	Benfica Castelo Branco to score first	53%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Benfica Castelo Branco / FT Benfica Castelo Branco	28%	3.59	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	9%	10.73	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Benfica Castelo Branco to win

54%

1.86

1.42

Double chance

Either team to win

77%

1.29

1.18

Both teams to score

Both teams to score

50%

1.98

–

Draw no bet

Benfica Castelo Branco (draw no bet)

70%

1.44

–

Asian handicap

Samora Correir +1 (Asian handicap)

69%

1.45

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

78%

1.28

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

51%

1.96

2.00

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

84%

1.19

–

First team to score

Benfica Castelo Branco to score first

53%

1.87

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time

41%

2.46

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Benfica Castelo Branco / FT Benfica Castelo Branco

28%

3.59

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1

10.73

–

Recent results

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Benfica Castelo Branco and Samora Correir.

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Os Marialvas	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Oliveira Hospital	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	O Elvas	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Mortágua	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Atlético Malveira	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	UD da Serra	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Fátima	8	3	2	3	+5	11
8	Benfica Castelo Branco	8	3	1	4	-6	10
9	FC Alverca II	8	3	1	4	+5	10
10	AD Nogueirense	8	1	6	1	-2	9
11	Nazarenos	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Naval 1893	8	2	1	5	-4	7
13	Sertanense	8	0	5	3	-5	5
14	Fazendense	8	0	1	7	-16	1

Team

Pts

+11

Benfica Castelo Branco

-6

-2

-6

-4

-5

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?

Our pick is Benfica Castelo Branco to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?

On our numbers Benfica Castelo Branco have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Samora Correir 24%.

How many goals will there be in Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?

Our predicted score is Benfica Castelo Branco 2–1 Samora Correir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir?

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Samora Correir (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal Vale do Romeiro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

25 Mar	@ Vitória de Sernache	0–0	D
15 Mar	@ Marinhense	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Lusitânia	2–0	W
1 Mar	@ UD da Serra	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ Lajense	3–2	W
15 Feb	vs Eléctrico	6–1	W

29 Mar	vs Peniche	5–2	W
15 Mar	vs Os Marialvas	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Naval 1893	1–2	L
1 Mar	vs Mortágua	1–0	W
22 Feb	@ Fátima	2–2	D
15 Feb	vs Lajense	2–0	W

Benfica Castelo Branco v Samora Correir: numbers & prediction