Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.57
Marinhense vs Lajense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marinhense welcome Lajense to Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C fixture on Sunday 12 April (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Marinhense, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mortágua, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lajense, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Naval 1893, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marinhense 1.4 xG, Lajense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marinhense 42%, draw 26%, Lajense 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marinhense 1–1 Lajense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marinhense42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Lajense32%fair 3.14 · @3.10
2.46Expected goals
1.36Marinhense xG
1.09Lajense xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Marinhense 1.4 – 1.1 Lajense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marinhense to win
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Marinhense (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Lajense +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Marinhense to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marinhense / FT Marinhense
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.57
–
Recent results
Marinhense – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Mar
@ Mortágua
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ UD da Serra
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Os Marialvas
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Eléctrico
1–4
L
4 Mar
vs Naval 1893
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lajense – last 6
LWDLDL
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Lusitânia
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs UD da Serra
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Fátima
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marinhense and Lajense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Marinhense vs Lajense?
On our numbers Marinhense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lajense 32%.
How many goals will there be in Marinhense vs Lajense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marinhense vs Lajense?
Our predicted score is Marinhense 1–1 Lajense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marinhense vs Lajense?
Marinhense vs Lajense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.