Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouletano to win ✓48% · @1.73
Double chanceLouletano or draw ✓75% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.41
Louletano vs FC Serpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Louletano v FC Serpa in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D, played at Estádio Do Algarve.
Current form
Louletano, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Oriental Lisboa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Serpa, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sintrense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Louletano, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for FC Serpa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louletano 1.2 xG, FC Serpa 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louletano 48%, draw 27%, FC Serpa 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louletano 1–0 FC Serpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louletano48%fair 2.08 · @1.73
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.20
FC Serpa25%fair 3.94 · @4.50
2.22Expected goals
1.24Louletano xG
0.98FC Serpa xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Louletano 1.2 – 1.0 FC Serpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louletano to win✓
48%
2.08
1.73
Double chance
Louletano or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Louletano (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
FC Serpa +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Louletano to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louletano / FT Louletano✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.41
–
Recent results
Louletano – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Alverca II
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs O Elvas
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Serpa – last 4
WDWD
8 Mar
vs Sintrense
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Portimonense B
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Atlético Malveira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and FC Serpa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Louletano vs FC Serpa?
On our numbers Louletano have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC Serpa 25%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs FC Serpa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs FC Serpa?
Our predicted score is Louletano 1–0 FC Serpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs FC Serpa?
Louletano vs FC Serpa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Do Algarve.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Portimonense B0
Moncarapachense3