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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portimonense B v Moncarapachense: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D · Portugal · Campo Major David Neto 2
Portimonense B 34%Draw 27%Moncarapachense 38% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.16
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoncarapachense to win ✓38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · fair 1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85

Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Portimonense B welcome Moncarapachense to Campo Major David Neto 2 for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D fixture on Sunday 15 March (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Portimonense B, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Comércio Indústria, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Moncarapachense, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlético Malveira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Moncarapachense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Portimonense B.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense B 1.0 xG, Moncarapachense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense B 34%, draw 27%, Moncarapachense 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense B 1–1 Moncarapachense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portimonense B34%fair 2.90 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.00
Moncarapachense38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
2.21Expected goals
1.05Portimonense B xG
1.16Moncarapachense xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Portimonense B 1.0 – 1.2 Moncarapachense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoncarapachense to win ✓38%2.612.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.37–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betMoncarapachense (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapPortimonense B +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMoncarapachense to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moncarapachense / FT Moncarapachense ✓22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.85–

Recent results

Portimonense B – last 4

WDLL
8 Mar@ Comércio Indústria1–0W
1 Marvs FC Serpa0–0D
22 Feb@ Alcochetense0–3L
15 Febvs Oriental Lisboa0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Moncarapachense – last 4

WWLD
8 Marvs Atlético Malveira1–0W
1 Mar@ Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1–0W
22 Feb@ Lagoa1–2L
15 Febvs Comércio Indústria1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portimonense B and Moncarapachense.

Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense head-to-head page →

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense?

On our numbers Portimonense B have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Moncarapachense 38%.

How many goals will there be in Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense?

Our predicted score is Portimonense B 1–1 Moncarapachense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense?

Portimonense B vs Moncarapachense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Major David Neto 2.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.