Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogradeci to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Pogradeci vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Pogradeci v Burreli in the 1st Division, played at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku. In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 1.9 xG, Burreli 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 67%, draw 22%, Burreli 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 1–0 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
Burreli11%fair 8.93 · @7.50
2.52Expected goals
1.90Pogradeci xG
0.62Burreli xG
41%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.9 – 0.6 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.54
–
Recent results
Pogradeci
No recent results on record.
Burreli
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Burreli.
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Burreli?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burreli 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Burreli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Burreli?
Pogradeci vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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