Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗64% · @1.28
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: AEK Larnaca v Olympiakos in the 1. Division, played at AEK Arena. In the table, AEK Larnaca are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Olympiakos are 9th (lower half) with 9.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 1.8 xG, Olympiakos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 64%, draw 23%, Olympiakos 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 2–0 Olympiakos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEK Larnaca64%fair 1.55 · @1.28
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.60
Olympiakos13%fair 7.79 · @10.00
2.60Expected goals
1.81AEK Larnaca xG
0.79Olympiakos xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.8 – 0.8 Olympiakos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✗
64%
1.55
1.28
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
AEK Larnaca (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
AEK Larnaca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
AEK Larnaca to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
AEK Larnaca ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
AEK Larnaca – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Olympiakos – last 2
LD
21 Feb
vs Akritas
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Omonia Aradippou
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Olympiakos.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olympiakos 13%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 2–0 Olympiakos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Akritas1