Pafos travel to face Aris on Sunday 1 March in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.4 xG, Pafos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 39%, draw 26%, Pafos 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aris39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Pafos35%fair 2.85 · @2.95
2.67Expected goals
1.37Aris xG
1.30Pafos xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aris 1.4 – 1.3 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✗
39%
2.59
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Draw no bet
Aris (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Pafos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Aris to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris / FT Aris✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Aris – last 1
D
20 Feb
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 2
DW
21 Feb
vs Anorthosis
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ AEL
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aris and Pafos.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aris vs Pafos?
On our numbers Aris have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pafos 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aris vs Pafos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aris vs Pafos?
Aris vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Akritas1