Diegem Sport v Spouwen-Mopertingen Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSpouwen-Mopertingen to win ✓46% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.35

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Diegem Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spouwen-Mopertingen travel to face Diegem Sport on Sunday 26 April in the First Amateur Division, with Gemeentelijk Sportstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Diegem Sport, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to Thes Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Spouwen-Mopertingen, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Zelzate, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Spouwen-Mopertingen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Diegem Sport.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Diegem Sport 1.7 xG, Spouwen-Mopertingen 2.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Diegem Sport 32%, draw 22%, Spouwen-Mopertingen 46%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.35.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Diegem Sport 1–2 Spouwen-Mopertingen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Diegem Sport32%fair 3.13 · @2.50

Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.40

Spouwen-Mopertingen46%fair 2.18 · @2.30

3.93Expected goals

1.74Diegem Sport xG

2.19Spouwen-Mopertingen xG

71%Both score

75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%

1–17%

2–27%

2–17%

1–36%

2–35%

From our goals model: Diegem Sport 1.7 – 2.2 Spouwen-Mopertingen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Diegem Sport	Spouwen-Mopertingen
Attack vs First Amateur Division average	+9%	+24%
Goals conceded vs average	+33%	-3%
Our expected goals here	1.75	2.35

Diegem Sport

Spouwen-Mopertingen

Attack vs First Amateur Division average

+9%

+24%

Goals conceded vs average

+33%

-3%

Our expected goals here

1.75

2.35

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Spouwen-Mopertingen to win ✓	46%	2.18	2.30 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	71%	1.42	1.35
Draw no bet	Spouwen-Mopertingen (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Diegem Sport +1 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	–
First team to score	Spouwen-Mopertingen to score first	55%	1.83	–
Half-time result	Spouwen-Mopertingen ahead at half-time ✗	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spouwen-Mopertingen / FT Spouwen-Mopertingen ✗	30%	3.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.22	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Spouwen-Mopertingen to win ✓

46%

2.18

2.30 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

78%

1.29

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

71%

1.42

1.35

Draw no bet

Spouwen-Mopertingen (draw no bet) ✓

59%

1.70

–

Asian handicap

Diegem Sport +1 (Asian handicap)

64%

1.56

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

90%

1.11

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

75%

1.33

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals ✓

55%

1.81

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✗

64%

1.56

–

First team to score

Spouwen-Mopertingen to score first

55%

1.83

–

Half-time result

Spouwen-Mopertingen ahead at half-time ✗

39%

2.58

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Spouwen-Mopertingen / FT Spouwen-Mopertingen ✗

30%

3.29

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

12.22

–

19 Apr	@ Thes Sport	3–6	L
29 Mar	vs Ninove	5–0	W
22 Mar	@ Tienen	1–5	L
15 Mar	vs Zelzate	3–2	W
8 Mar	vs Hoogstraten	0–3	L
1 Mar	@ Knokke	0–3	L

19 Apr	vs Zelzate	5–0	W
29 Mar	vs Tienen	0–2	L
22 Mar	@ Roeselare Daisel	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Knokke	2–3	L

Diegem Sport v Spouwen-Mopertingen: numbers & prediction