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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ninove v Merelbeke: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium · Stadion De Kloppers

Ninove

LWL
3–1
FT

Merelbeke

LWLLL
Ninove 31%Draw 23%Merelbeke 46% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.66
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMerelbeke to win ✗46% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Ninove vs Merelbeke: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Ninove v Merelbeke in the First Amateur Division, played at Stadion De Kloppers.

Current form

Ninove, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Diegem Sport, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Merelbeke, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Roeselare Daisel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ninove 1.5 xG, Merelbeke 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ninove 31%, draw 23%, Merelbeke 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ninove 1–1 Merelbeke. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ninove31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Merelbeke46%fair 2.18 · @1.95
3.13Expected goals
1.48Ninove xG
1.66Merelbeke xG
68%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Ninove 1.5 – 1.7 Merelbeke expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NinoveMerelbeke
Attack vs First Amateur Division average+1%-6%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-14%
Our expected goals here1.441.38

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMerelbeke to win ✗46%2.181.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.36
Draw no betMerelbeke (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapNinove +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
First team to scoreMerelbeke to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Merelbeke / FT Merelbeke ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Ninove – last 3

LWL
29 Mar@ Diegem Sport0–5L
15 Mar@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II4–1W
22 Feb@ Cercle Brugge II0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Merelbeke – last 6

LWLLLW
19 Aprvs Roeselare Daisel1–3L
6 Apr@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II3–1W
15 Mar@ Hoogstraten0–2L
8 Mar@ Tienen0–2L
20 Feb@ Zelzate1–2L
15 Febvs Sporting Hasselt4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ninove and Merelbeke.

Ninove vs Merelbeke head-to-head page →

More First Amateur Division predictions

League hub
– Cercle Brugge II Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 137%2.20X22%3.50241%2.60 1.8–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.36
FT Diegem Sport2 Spouwen-Mopertingen3 132%2.50X22%3.40246%2.30 1.7–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.35 ✓
FT Sporting Hasselt1 Dessel Sport0 162%1.30X21%4.80217%7.00 2.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
– Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Houtvenne 133%2.60X24%3.30244%2.30 1.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50
FT Roeselare Daisel3 Thes Sport1 154%1.85X26%3.30220%3.40 1.5–0.8xG 1XRoeselare Daisel or draw 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Tienen1 Hoogstraten1 136%2.80X24%3.20239%2.15 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Zelzate2 Knokke3 125%3.70X25%3.60250%1.75 1.4–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✓
– Crossing Schaerbeek0 Union Namur0 152%1.65X23%3.60225%4.20 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ninove vs Merelbeke?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Ninove vs Merelbeke?

On our numbers Ninove have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Merelbeke 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ninove vs Merelbeke?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ninove vs Merelbeke?

Our predicted score is Ninove 1–1 Merelbeke, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ninove vs Merelbeke?

Ninove vs Merelbeke (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion De Kloppers.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.