Manchester City W 74%Draw 16%Liverpool W 10%Expected goals 2.52 – 0.95
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultManchester City W to win ✓74% · @1.19
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Manchester City W vs Liverpool W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Manchester City W v Liverpool W in the FA WSL, played at Joie Stadium. In the table, Manchester City W are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 9 matches; Liverpool W are 12th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manchester City W, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Birmingham City W, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Liverpool W, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to West Ham W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester City W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Liverpool W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City W 2.5 xG, Liverpool W 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City W 74%, draw 16%, Liverpool W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City W 2–1 Liverpool W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City W74%fair 1.36 · @1.19
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @5.80
Liverpool W10%fair 9.70 · @13.00
3.47Expected goals
2.52Manchester City W xG
0.95Liverpool W xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Manchester City W 2.5 – 1.0 Liverpool W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Manchester City W
Liverpool W
Attack vs FA WSL average
+53%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.66
1.15
Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✓
74%
1.36
1.19
Double chance
Manchester City W or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Manchester City W (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Manchester City W -1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Manchester City W to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Manchester City W ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Manchester City W – last 4
WDWW
6 Apr
@ Birmingham City W
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Aston Villa W
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sheffield United W
4–0
W
13 Feb
vs Leicester City WFC
6–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Liverpool W – last 6
LDWDWW
26 Apr
vs West Ham W
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Charlton Athletic W
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Everton W
3–2
W
22 Mar
@ Brighton W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Leicester City WFC
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Everton W
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City W and Liverpool W.
What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Liverpool W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Manchester City W vs Liverpool W?
On our numbers Manchester City W have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Liverpool W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City W vs Liverpool W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City W vs Liverpool W?
Our predicted score is Manchester City W 2–1 Liverpool W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Manchester City W vs Liverpool W?
Manchester City W vs Liverpool W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Joie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester City WFC1