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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leicester City WFC v Chelsea W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · King Power Stadium
1–3
–
Leicester City WFC 7%Draw 11%Chelsea W 82% Expected goals 0.78 – 2.95
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultChelsea W to win82% · @1.07
Double chanceChelsea W or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.29

Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the FA WSL brings Leicester City WFC against Chelsea W at King Power Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Leicester City WFC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Arsenal W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Chelsea W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Everton W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Chelsea W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Leicester City WFC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leicester City WFC 0.8 xG, Chelsea W 2.9 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leicester City WFC 7%, draw 11%, Chelsea W 82%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leicester City WFC 0–3 Chelsea W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leicester City WFC7%fair 14.34 · @25.00
Draw11%fair 8.74 · @8.80
Chelsea W82%fair 1.23 · @1.07
3.72Expected goals
0.78Leicester City WFC xG
2.95Chelsea W xG
51%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–310%
1–28%
1–38%
0–48%
0–17%

From our goals model: Leicester City WFC 0.8 – 2.9 Chelsea W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Leicester City WFCChelsea W
Attack vs FA WSL average-18%+59%
Goals conceded vs average+33%-35%
Our expected goals here0.903.35

Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea W to win82%1.231.07
Double chanceChelsea W or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.942.20 ▲
Draw no betChelsea W (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapChelsea W -1.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals88%1.141.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals73%1.381.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals53%1.881.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals66%1.521.48
First team to scoreChelsea W to score first77%1.29–
Half-time resultChelsea W ahead at half-time61%1.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W58%1.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.29–

Recent results

Leicester City WFC – last 6

LLLLLL
29 Apr@ Arsenal W0–7L
26 Apr@ London City Lionesses1–5L
29 Marvs Brighton W0–1L
22 Marvs Aston Villa W1–2L
15 Mar@ Liverpool W0–2L
13 Feb@ Manchester City W0–6L
0.3Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chelsea W – last 6

WWWWLW
26 Apr@ Everton W4–1W
6 Aprvs Tottenham Hotspur W2–1W
1 Aprvs Arsenal W1–0W
29 Marvs Aston Villa W4–3W
24 Mar@ Arsenal W1–3L
18 Marvs Brighton W2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leicester City WFC and Chelsea W.

Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

More FA WSL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W?

On our numbers Leicester City WFC have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Chelsea W 82%.

How many goals will there be in Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W?

Our predicted score is Leicester City WFC 0–3 Chelsea W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W?

Leicester City WFC vs Chelsea W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.