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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

La Fiorita v Libertas: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino · Stadio Igor Crescentini
2–2
FT
La Fiorita 67%Draw 20%Libertas 13% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.79
67%
Betarazi pick

La Fiorita to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLa Fiorita to win ✗67% · @1.20
Double chanceLa Fiorita or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.55

La Fiorita vs Libertas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 21 February the Campionato brings La Fiorita against Libertas at Stadio Igor Crescentini. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, La Fiorita are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 8 matches; Libertas are 9th (lower half) with 9.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give La Fiorita 2.0 xG, Libertas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – La Fiorita 67%, draw 20%, Libertas 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was La Fiorita to win (67%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Fiorita 1–0 Libertas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

La Fiorita67%fair 1.50 · @1.20
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.75
Libertas13%fair 7.64 · @9.50
2.74Expected goals
1.95La Fiorita xG
0.79Libertas xG
48%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%

From our goals model: La Fiorita 2.0 – 0.8 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLa Fiorita to win ✗67%1.501.20
Double chanceLa Fiorita or draw ✓87%1.151.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.92–
Draw no betLa Fiorita (draw no bet)84%1.20–
Asian handicapLa Fiorita -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreLa Fiorita to score first67%1.50–
Half-time resultLa Fiorita ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT La Fiorita / FT La Fiorita ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%12.55–

Recent results

La Fiorita

No recent results on record.

Libertas – last 1

W
15 Febvs Faetano2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between La Fiorita and Libertas.

La Fiorita vs Libertas head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for La Fiorita vs Libertas?

Our pick is La Fiorita to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win La Fiorita vs Libertas?

On our numbers La Fiorita have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertas 13%.

How many goals will there be in La Fiorita vs Libertas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for La Fiorita vs Libertas?

Our predicted score is La Fiorita 1–0 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is La Fiorita vs Libertas?

La Fiorita vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Igor Crescentini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.